BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//fru.dev//Predictions//EN CALSCALE:GREGORIAN METHOD:PUBLISH X-WR-CALNAME:Predictions: Agents coming due X-WR-CALDESC:Target dates of open predictions about data\, AI and tech\, from predictions.fru.dev X-PUBLISHED-TTL:PT12H BEGIN:VEVENT UID:openai-intern-level-research-assistant-september-2026@predictions.fru. dev DTSTAMP:20260925T020338Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20260930 DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20261001 SUMMARY:Due: Sam Altman: OpenAI will have an intern-level AI research assi stant by September 2026. DESCRIPTION:OpenAI will have an intern-level AI research assistant by Sept ember 2026.\nTarget as stated: by September 2026.\nSource: https://techcr unch.com/2025/10/28/sam-altman-says-openai-will-have-a-legitimate-ai-rese archer-by-2028/\nhttps://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/openai-intern-le vel-research-assistant-september-2026 URL:https://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/openai-intern-level-research-a ssistant-september-2026 TRANSP:TRANSPARENT END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT UID:sternfels-mckinsey-as-many-agents-as-staff-2026@predictions.fru.dev DTSTAMP:20260925T020338Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20261231 DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20270101 SUMMARY:Due: Bob Sternfels: McKinsey will have as many personalized AI age nts as employees by the end of 2026. DESCRIPTION:McKinsey will have as many personalized AI agents as employees by the end of 2026.\nTarget as stated: by the end of 2026.\nSource: http s://techcrunch.com/2026/01/06/mckinsey-and-general-catalyst-execs-say-the -era-of-learn-once-work-forever-is-over/\nhttps://predictions.fru.dev/pre dictions/sternfels-mckinsey-as-many-agents-as-staff-2026 URL:https://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/sternfels-mckinsey-as-many-age nts-as-staff-2026 TRANSP:TRANSPARENT END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT UID:musk-digital-human-emulation-2026@predictions.fru.dev DTSTAMP:20260925T020338Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20261231 DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20270101 SUMMARY:Due: Elon Musk: Digital human emulation\, AI that can do any job d one at a computer\, will be solved by the end of 2026. DESCRIPTION:Digital human emulation\, AI that can do any job done at a com puter\, will be solved by the end of 2026.\nTarget as stated: by the end of this year.\nSource: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/elon-musk\nhttps://pred ictions.fru.dev/predictions/musk-digital-human-emulation-2026 URL:https://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/musk-digital-human-emulation-2 026 TRANSP:TRANSPARENT END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT UID:cotra-agents-100-hour-horizon-2026@predictions.fru.dev DTSTAMP:20260925T020338Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20261231 DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20270101 SUMMARY:Due: Ajeya Cotra: AI agents will reach a time horizon of over 100 hours on METR-style software tasks by the end of 2026. DESCRIPTION:AI agents will reach a time horizon of over 100 hours on METR- style software tasks by the end of 2026.\nTarget as stated: by the end of the year.\nSource: https://www.planned-obsolescence.org/p/i-underestimat ed-ai-capabilities\nhttps://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/cotra-agents- 100-hour-horizon-2026 URL:https://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/cotra-agents-100-hour-horizon- 2026 TRANSP:TRANSPARENT END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT UID:prince-bot-traffic-exceeds-human-2027@predictions.fru.dev DTSTAMP:20260925T020338Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20271231 DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20280101 SUMMARY:Due: Matthew Prince: Bot traffic online will exceed human traffic in 2027. DESCRIPTION:Bot traffic online will exceed human traffic in 2027.\nTarget as stated: in 2027.\nSource: https://techcrunch.com/2026/03/19/online-bot -traffic-will-exceed-human-traffic-by-2027-cloudflare-ceo-says/\nhttps:// predictions.fru.dev/predictions/prince-bot-traffic-exceeds-human-2027 URL:https://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/prince-bot-traffic-exceeds-hum an-2027 TRANSP:TRANSPARENT END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT UID:amodei-ai-builds-next-generation-2-years@predictions.fru.dev DTSTAMP:20260925T020338Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20280101 DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20280102 SUMMARY:Due: Dario Amodei: AI may be one to two years from the point where it autonomously builds its own next generation. DESCRIPTION:AI may be one to two years from the point where it autonomousl y builds its own next generation.\nTarget as stated: 1–2 years away.\nSou rce: https://www.darioamodei.com/essay/the-adolescence-of-technology\nhtt ps://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/amodei-ai-builds-next-generation-2-y ears URL:https://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/amodei-ai-builds-next-generati on-2-years TRANSP:TRANSPARENT END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT UID:mcdermott-graduate-unemployment-mid-30s@predictions.fru.dev DTSTAMP:20260925T020338Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20280313 DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20280314 SUMMARY:Due: Bill McDermott: Unemployment among new college graduates coul d reach the mid-30s percent within a couple of years. DESCRIPTION:Unemployment among new college graduates could reach the mid-3 0s percent within a couple of years.\nTarget as stated: in the next coupl e of years.\nSource: https://fortune.com/2026/03/17/servicenow-ceo-bill-m cdermott-gen-z-graduates-face-30-unemployment-next-couple-of-years-ai-tak es-over/\nhttps://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/mcdermott-graduate-unem ployment-mid-30s URL:https://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/mcdermott-graduate-unemploymen t-mid-30s TRANSP:TRANSPARENT END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT UID:openai-automated-ai-researcher-2028@predictions.fru.dev DTSTAMP:20260925T020338Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20281231 DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20290101 SUMMARY:Due: Sam Altman: OpenAI will have a fully automated AI researcher by 2028. DESCRIPTION:OpenAI will have a fully automated AI researcher by 2028.\nTar get as stated: by 2028.\nSource: https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/28/sam-al tman-says-openai-will-have-a-legitimate-ai-researcher-by-2028/\nhttps://p redictions.fru.dev/predictions/openai-automated-ai-researcher-2028 URL:https://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/openai-automated-ai-researcher -2028 TRANSP:TRANSPARENT END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT UID:clark-60-percent-automated-ai-rnd-2028@predictions.fru.dev DTSTAMP:20260925T020338Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20281231 DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20290101 SUMMARY:Due: Jack Clark: There is about a 60% chance of automated AI R&D\, a model training its own successor\, by the end of 2028. DESCRIPTION:There is about a 60% chance of automated AI R&D\, a model trai ning its own successor\, by the end of 2028.\nTarget as stated: by the en d of 2028.\nSource: https://importai.substack.com/p/import-ai-455-automat ing-ai-research\nhttps://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/clark-60-percent -automated-ai-rnd-2028 URL:https://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/clark-60-percent-automated-ai- rnd-2028 TRANSP:TRANSPARENT END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT UID:mcdermott-3-billion-enterprise-agents-2030@predictions.fru.dev DTSTAMP:20260925T020338Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20301231 DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20310101 SUMMARY:Due: Bill McDermott: About three billion digital agents will be ad ded to enterprises by 2030. DESCRIPTION:About three billion digital agents will be added to enterprise s by 2030.\nTarget as stated: by 2030.\nSource: https://fortune.com/2026/ 03/17/servicenow-ceo-bill-mcdermott-gen-z-graduates-face-30-unemployment- next-couple-of-years-ai-takes-over/\nhttps://predictions.fru.dev/predicti ons/mcdermott-3-billion-enterprise-agents-2030 URL:https://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/mcdermott-3-billion-enterprise -agents-2030 TRANSP:TRANSPARENT END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT UID:zuckerberg-billions-with-personal-agents-5-years@predictions.fru.dev DTSTAMP:20260925T020338Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20310729 DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20310730 SUMMARY:Due: Mark Zuckerberg: Within five years billions of people will ha ve a personal AI agent working for them around the clock. DESCRIPTION:Within five years billions of people will have a personal AI a gent working for them around the clock.\nTarget as stated: five years fro m now.\nSource: https://techcrunch.com/2026/07/29/mark-zuckerberg-predict s-that-billions-of-people-will-have-personal-ai-agents-in-five-years/\nht tps://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/zuckerberg-billions-with-personal-a gents-5-years URL:https://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/zuckerberg-billions-with-perso nal-agents-5-years TRANSP:TRANSPARENT END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT UID:greenblatt-ai-rnd-automated-2031@predictions.fru.dev DTSTAMP:20260925T020338Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20311231 DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20320101 SUMMARY:Due: Ryan Greenblatt: AI research and development will be fully au tomated around 2030 to 2031. DESCRIPTION:AI research and development will be fully automated around 203 0 to 2031.\nTarget as stated: around 2031\, 2030.\nSource: https://www.dw arkesh.com/p/ryan-greenblatt\nhttps://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/gre enblatt-ai-rnd-automated-2031 URL:https://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/greenblatt-ai-rnd-automated-20 31 TRANSP:TRANSPARENT END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT UID:karpathy-agents-take-a-decade@predictions.fru.dev DTSTAMP:20260925T020338Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20351017 DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20351018 SUMMARY:Due: Andrej Karpathy: Making AI agents work like an employee will take about a decade. DESCRIPTION:Making AI agents work like an employee will take about a decad e.\nTarget as stated: about a decade.\nSource: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p /andrej-karpathy\nhttps://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/karpathy-agents -take-a-decade URL:https://predictions.fru.dev/predictions/karpathy-agents-take-a-decade TRANSP:TRANSPARENT END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR