SemiAnalysis predictions and outcomes
semianalysis.com · 1 person
2 predictions · 2 open · 0 due · none judged yet
Predictions from SemiAnalysis
2 of 2 predictions, newest first
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 2026 | China will have 30 gigawatts of AI compute or less in 2028.Open · Unverified · Dylan Patel, SemiAnalysis · target Dec 2028 | Dec 2028in 2028 | Compute | Open |
| August 2026 | By the end of 2027 half of the world's incremental new compute will go to Anthropic and OpenAI.Open · Unverified · Dylan Patel, SemiAnalysis · target Dec 2027 | Dec 2027by the end of next year | Compute | Open |
People and links
| Person | Made | Hit rate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan PatelFounder and CEO, SemiAnalysis | 2 | 0 | - | Dec 2027in 15 months |
Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.