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14 open predictions by target date, soonest first; 4 past their target and waiting for an outcome.

2 predictions come due in the next 90 days; 4 are past due and waiting for an outcome. past due unverified

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14 of 14 predictions, soonest target first

Target	Prediction	Made	Topic	Status
Sep 2026in 6 days	OpenAI will have an intern-level AI research assistant by September 2026.Open · Unverified · Sam Altman, OpenAI · due Sep 2026	Oct 28, 2025	Agents	Open
Oct 2026in 5 weeks	Within 12 to 18 months, most of the code for Meta's Llama efforts will be written by AI.Open · Mark Zuckerberg, Meta · due Oct 2026	Apr 29, 2025	Coding	Open
Dec 2026in 3 months	Powerful AI could arrive as early as 2026.Open · Dario Amodei, Anthropic · due Dec 2026	October 2024	AGI	Open
Dec 2026in 3 months	2026 will likely see AI systems that can figure out novel insights.Open · Sam Altman, OpenAI · due Dec 2026	Jun 10, 2025	Science	Open
Mar 2027in 6 months	Powerful AI systems will emerge in late 2026 or early 2027.Open · Anthropic · due Mar 2027	Mar 6, 2025	AGI	Open
Dec 2027in 15 months	2027 may see robots that can do tasks in the real world.Open · Sam Altman, OpenAI · due Dec 2027	Jun 10, 2025	Robotics	Open
Dec 2028in 2 years	OpenAI will have a fully automated AI researcher by 2028.Open · Unverified · Sam Altman, OpenAI · due Dec 2028	Oct 28, 2025	Agents	Open
Dec 2028in 2 years	There is a 50% chance of AGI by 2028.Open · Shane Legg, DeepMind · due Dec 2028	Oct 26, 2023	AGI	Open
Mar 2029in 2 years	AGI, defined as passing a set of tests better than most people, will arrive within 5 years.Open · Unverified · Jensen Huang, Nvidia · due Mar 2029	Mar 19, 2024	AGI	Open
Dec 2029in 3 years	Computers will reach human-level intelligence by 2029.Open · Unverified · Ray Kurzweil · due Dec 2029	2005 (The Singularity Is Near)	AGI	Open
May 2030in 4 years	AI could eliminate half of entry-level white-collar jobs and push unemployment to as much as 20% within one to five years.Open · Unverified · Dario Amodei, Anthropic · due May 2030	May 28, 2025	Jobs	Open
Dec 2032in 6 years	Superintelligence could arrive in a few thousand days.Open · Sam Altman, OpenAI · due Dec 2032	Sep 23, 2024	AGI	Open
Apr 2035in 9 years	The impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will exceed that of the Industrial Revolution.Open · Daniel Kokotajlo, AI Futures Project · due Apr 2035	Apr 3, 2025	AGI	Open
Oct 2035in 9 years	Making AI agents work like an employee will take about a decade.Open · Andrej Karpathy, Eureka Labs · due Oct 2035	Oct 17, 2025	Agents	Open

Past due, waiting for an outcome

Target	Prediction	Made	Topic	Status
Mar 20267 months ago	Within twelve months, AI may be writing essentially all of the code.Due for review · Dario Amodei, Anthropic · due Mar 2026	Mar 10, 2025	Coding	Due for review
Dec 20259 months ago	In 2025 Meta and others will have an AI that can work like a midlevel engineer.Due for review · Unverified · Mark Zuckerberg, Meta · due Dec 2025	Jan 10, 2025	Coding	Due for review
Dec 20259 months ago	In 2025 the first AI agents may join the workforce and materially change the output of companies.Due for review · Sam Altman, OpenAI · due Dec 2025	Jan 6, 2025	Agents	Due for review
Sep 202512 months ago	Within three to six months, AI will be writing 90 percent of the code.Due for review · Dario Amodei, Anthropic · due Sep 2025	Mar 10, 2025	Coding	Due for review

Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.

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