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Companies

Predictions by each company's people and by the company itself. The hit rate counts judged predictions only.

8 of 8 companies

CompanyMadeHit rate
OpenAI1 person6-
Anthropic1 person5-
Meta1 person2-
AI Futures Project1 person1-
DeepMind1 person1-
Eureka Labs1 person1-
Nvidia1 person1-
Tesla1 person10%

Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.

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