Who predicted what

Predictions178Still open163

178 predictions · 163 still open

Daniel Kokotajlo predictions and outcomes

Lead author, AI 2027 · 2 predictions · 1 open · 1 due · none judged yet

AI Futures Project
AGImade Apr 3, 2025, due Apr 2035The impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will exceed that of the Industrial Revolution.AgentsDue for reviewUnverifiedmade Apr 2025, due Dec 2025By the end of 2025 AI agents will stop making basic mouse-click errors in computer use.