There could be a billion bipedal robots within 25 years.

Vinod Khosla, Khosla Ventures · made Nov 11, 2024 · target Nov 2049 · Open

In 25 years, there could be a billion bipedal robots performing the wide range of tasks that humans do.

The prediction

Who: Vinod Khosla, Founder, Khosla Ventures
Made: Nov 11, 2024
Target: Nov 11, 2049 (stated as "In 25 years")
Status: Openin 23 years
Source: A Roadmap to AI Utopia Primary: their own words · original recording
Topics: Robotics

Made	Prediction	Target	Topic	Status
August 2026	6.5 million humanoid robots will be shipped globally by 2035.Open · Unverified · Goldman Sachs · target Dec 2035	Dec 2035by 2035	Robotics	Open
Aug 20, 2026	External sales of Tesla Optimus robots could start as early as the second half of 2027.Open · Unverified · Tesla · target Dec 2027	Dec 2027as early as the second half of 2027	Robotics	Open
Apr 30, 2026	1X will scale NEO humanoid production toward more than 100,000 a year by the end of 2027.Open · 1X · target Dec 2027	Dec 2027by the end of 2027	Robotics	Open
February 2026	Adoption of highly automated processes in manufacturing will nearly triple by 2030.Open · Unverified · PwC · target Dec 2030	Dec 2030by 2030	Robotics	Open
Jan 28, 2026	Tesla will not reach significant Optimus production volume until about the end of 2026.Open · Unverified · Elon Musk, Tesla · target Dec 2026	Dec 2026until probably the end of this year	Robotics	Open
Jan 5, 2026	Hyundai will deploy Boston Dynamics Atlas humanoids for tasks like parts sequencing by 2028.Open · Unverified · Hyundai Motor Group · target Dec 2028	Dec 2028by 2028	Robotics	Open

Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.

The prediction

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