Tesla will not reach significant Optimus production volume until about the end of 2026.

Elon Musk, Tesla · made Jan 28, 2026 · target Dec 2026 · Open

Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.

We wouldn't expect to have any kind of significant Optimus production volume until probably the end of this year.

Elon Musk, Electrek, Musk admits no Optimus robots are doing useful work at Tesla (the quote as reported there)

The prediction

Who: Elon Musk, CEO, Tesla
Made: Jan 28, 2026
Target: Dec 31, 2026 (stated as "until probably the end of this year")
Status: Openin 3 months
Source: Electrek, Musk admits no Optimus robots are doing useful work at Tesla Secondary: a report of what they said
Topics: Robotics

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August 2026	6.5 million humanoid robots will be shipped globally by 2035.Open · Unverified · Goldman Sachs · target Dec 2035	Dec 2035by 2035	Robotics	Open
Aug 20, 2026	External sales of Tesla Optimus robots could start as early as the second half of 2027.Open · Unverified · Tesla · target Dec 2027	Dec 2027as early as the second half of 2027	Robotics	Open
Apr 30, 2026	1X will scale NEO humanoid production toward more than 100,000 a year by the end of 2027.Open · 1X · target Dec 2027	Dec 2027by the end of 2027	Robotics	Open
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