Predictionsby GlyphRobots able to fully autonomously run a household are about five years away (median).
Sergey Levine, Physical Intelligence
Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.
I think five is a good median.
- Who
- Sergey Levine, Co-founder, Physical Intelligence
- Made
- September 2025 1 year ago
- Target
- Sep 12, 2030 in 3 years (stated as "five years (median)")
- Status
- Openin 4 years
- Source
- Sergey Levine: Fully autonomous robots are much closer than you think (Dwarkesh Podcast transcript) Secondary: a report of what they said
- Topics
- Robotics
Related predictions
6.5 million humanoid robots will be shipped globally by 2035.
Goldman SachsExternal sales of Tesla Optimus robots could start as early as the second half of 2027.
Tesla1X will scale NEO humanoid production toward more than 100,000 a year by the end of 2027.
1XAdoption of highly automated processes in manufacturing will nearly triple by 2030.
PwCTesla will not reach significant Optimus production volume until about the end of 2026.
Elon Musk, TeslaHyundai will deploy Boston Dynamics Atlas humanoids for tasks like parts sequencing by 2028.
Hyundai Motor Group