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Science predictions

AI that finds new knowledge: research, medicine, discovery.

ScienceUnverifiedmade Sep 11, 2026, due Jan 2027The competition for designing a protocol-emulator ASIC will conclude on January 18, 2027.Jane StreetSciencemade Sep 2026, due Sep 2036AI could cure most major diseases within the next five to ten years.Dario Amodei, AnthropicScienceUnverifiedmade Mar 20, 2026, due Mar 2036Within a decade AI will be able to do much of the work math students now do.Terence Tao, UCLASciencemade Nov 2025, due Nov 2028Medical superintelligence will arrive in the next few years.Mustafa Suleyman, MicrosoftAGIAgentsUnverifiedmade Oct 28, 2025, due Dec 2028OpenAI will have a fully automated AI researcher by 2028.Sam Altman, OpenAIScienceAgentsDue for reviewUnverifiedmade Oct 28, 2025, due Sep 2026OpenAI will have an intern-level AI research assistant by September 2026.Sam Altman, OpenAIScienceSciencemade Sep 2025, due Dec 2030Existing biology protocol question-answering benchmarks will be solved by 2030.Epoch AISciencemade Sep 2025, due Dec 2030Few if any drugs approved for sale by 2030 will have benefited from today's AI tools.Epoch AIScienceUnverifiedmade Jul 2025, due Jul 2030Within five years AI systems will materially help solve problems like fusion, superconductors and better batteries.Demis Hassabis, DeepMindSciencemade Jun 10, 2025, due Dec 20262026 will likely see AI systems that can figure out novel insights.Sam Altman, OpenAISciencemade Apr 1, 2025, due Dec 2027Interpretability will reliably detect most model problems by 2027.Dario Amodei, Anthropic