Science predictions
AI that finds new knowledge: research, medicine, discovery.
The competition for designing a protocol-emulator ASIC will conclude on January 18, 2027.
Jane StreetAI could cure most major diseases within the next five to ten years.
Dario Amodei, AnthropicWithin a decade AI will be able to do much of the work math students now do.
Terence Tao, UCLAMedical superintelligence will arrive in the next few years.
Mustafa Suleyman, MicrosoftAGIOpenAI will have a fully automated AI researcher by 2028.
Sam Altman, OpenAIScienceOpenAI will have an intern-level AI research assistant by September 2026.
Sam Altman, OpenAIScienceExisting biology protocol question-answering benchmarks will be solved by 2030.
Epoch AIFew if any drugs approved for sale by 2030 will have benefited from today's AI tools.
Epoch AIWithin five years AI systems will materially help solve problems like fusion, superconductors and better batteries.
Demis Hassabis, DeepMind2026 will likely see AI systems that can figure out novel insights.
Sam Altman, OpenAIInterpretability will reliably detect most model problems by 2027.
Dario Amodei, Anthropic