Predictionsby GlyphFew if any drugs approved for sale by 2030 will have benefited from today's AI tools.
Epoch AI
we expect that few if any of the drugs approved for sale by 2030 will have benefited from today's AI tools, let alone those of 2030.
- Who
- Epoch AI
- Made
- September 2025 1 year ago
- Target
- Dec 31, 2030 in 4 years (stated as "by 2030")
- Status
- Openin 4 years
- Source
- What will AI look like in 2030? (Epoch AI report) Primary: their own words
- Topics
- Science
More from Epoch AI
By 2030 AI will autonomously fix issues, implement features and solve hard, well-defined scientific programming problems.Existing biology protocol question-answering benchmarks will be solved by 2030.Clusters used to train frontier AI will cost over $100 billion by 2030.Training runs of about 2e29 FLOP will be feasible by 2030, a GPT-2 to GPT-4 sized jump beyond GPT-4.
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