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Epoch AI predictions and outcomes

epoch.ai · 5 predictions · 5 open · none judged yet

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Codingmade Sep 2025, due Dec 2030By 2030 AI will autonomously fix issues, implement features and solve hard, well-defined scientific programming problems.Epoch AISciencemade Sep 2025, due Dec 2030Existing biology protocol question-answering benchmarks will be solved by 2030.Epoch AISciencemade Sep 2025, due Dec 2030Few if any drugs approved for sale by 2030 will have benefited from today's AI tools.Epoch AIComputemade Sep 2025, due Dec 2030Clusters used to train frontier AI will cost over $100 billion by 2030.Epoch AIComputemade Aug 2024, due Dec 2030Training runs of about 2e29 FLOP will be feasible by 2030, a GPT-2 to GPT-4 sized jump beyond GPT-4.Epoch AI
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