Epoch AI predictions and outcomes
epoch.ai · 5 predictions · 5 open · none judged yet
By 2030 AI will autonomously fix issues, implement features and solve hard, well-defined scientific programming problems.
Epoch AIExisting biology protocol question-answering benchmarks will be solved by 2030.
Epoch AIFew if any drugs approved for sale by 2030 will have benefited from today's AI tools.
Epoch AIClusters used to train frontier AI will cost over $100 billion by 2030.
Epoch AITraining runs of about 2e29 FLOP will be feasible by 2030, a GPT-2 to GPT-4 sized jump beyond GPT-4.
Epoch AI