Redwood Research predictions and outcomes
redwoodresearch.org · 1 person
1 prediction · 1 open · 0 due · none judged yet
Predictions from Redwood Research
1 of 1 prediction, newest first
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | AI research and development will be fully automated around 2030 to 2031.Open · Unverified · Ryan Greenblatt, Redwood Research · target Dec 2031 | Dec 2031around 2031, 2030 | AGI | Open |
People and links
| Person | Made | Hit rate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan GreenblattChief Scientist, Redwood Research | 1 | 0 | - | Dec 2031in 5 years |
Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.