Who predicted what

178 predictions · 163 still open

AI research and development will be fully automated around 2030 to 2031.

Ryan Greenblatt, Redwood Research

Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.

I would say that I expect full automation of AI R&D perhaps somewhere around 2031, 2030.
Ryan Greenblatt, Dwarkesh Podcast: Ryan Greenblatt, What happens once AI can automate AI research? (the quote as reported there)
Who
Ryan Greenblatt, Chief Scientist, Redwood Research
Made
Aug 11, 2026 3 months ago
Target
Dec 31, 2031 in 5 years (stated as "around 2031, 2030")
Status
Openin 5 years
Links