Ryan Greenblatt predictions and outcomes
Chief Scientist, Redwood Research
1 prediction · 1 open · 0 due · none judged yet
Ryan Greenblatt's predictions
1 of 1 prediction, newest first
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | AI research and development will be fully automated around 2030 to 2031.Open · Unverified · target Dec 2031 | Dec 2031around 2031, 2030 | AGI | Open |
Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.