Gary Marcus predictions and outcomes
Professor emeritus, New York University
3 predictions · 1 open · 2 due · none judged yet
Gary Marcus's predictions
3 of 3 predictions, newest first
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 2025 | AGI will not arrive in 2026 or 2027.Open · target Dec 2027 | Dec 2027in 2026 (or 7) | AGI | Open |
| January 2025 | No one will release a humanoid robot remotely as capable as Rosie the Robot in 2025.Due for review · target Dec 2025 | Dec 20252025 | Robotics | Due for review |
| January 2025 | No single AI system will solve more than 4 of the Marcus-Brundage tasks by the end of 2025.Due for review · target Dec 2025 | Dec 2025by the end of 2025 | AGI | Due for review |
Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.