Who predicted what

Predictions178Still open163

178 predictions · 163 still open

Gary Marcus

Gary Marcus predictions and outcomes

Professor emeritus, New York University · 3 predictions · 1 open · 2 due · none judged yet

New York University
AGImade Dec 2025, due Dec 2027AGI will not arrive in 2026 or 2027.RoboticsDue for reviewmade Jan 2025, due Dec 2025No one will release a humanoid robot remotely as capable as Rosie the Robot in 2025.AGIDue for reviewmade Jan 2025, due Dec 2025No single AI system will solve more than 4 of the Marcus-Brundage tasks by the end of 2025.
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