AGI will not arrive in 2026 or 2027.
Gary Marcus, New York University · made December 2025 · target Dec 2027 · Open
We won't get to AGI in 2026 (or 7).
The prediction
- Who
- Gary Marcus, Professor emeritus, New York University
- Made
- December 2025
- Target
- Dec 31, 2027 (stated as "in 2026 (or 7)")
- Status
- Openin 15 months
- Source
- Six (or seven) predictions for AI 2026 (Marcus on AI) Primary: their own words
- Topics
- AGI
More from Gary Marcus
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 2025 | No one will release a humanoid robot remotely as capable as Rosie the Robot in 2025.Due for review · target Dec 2025 | Dec 20252025 | Robotics | Due for review |
| January 2025 | No single AI system will solve more than 4 of the Marcus-Brundage tasks by the end of 2025.Due for review · target Dec 2025 | Dec 2025by the end of 2025 | AGI | Due for review |
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Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.