No single AI system will solve more than 4 of the Marcus-Brundage tasks by the end of 2025.
Gary Marcus, New York University · made January 2025 · target Dec 2025 · Due for review
No single system will solve more than 4 of the AI 2027 Marcus-Brundage tasks by the end of 2025.
The prediction
- Who
- Gary Marcus, Professor emeritus, New York University
- Made
- January 2025
- Target
- Dec 31, 2025 (stated as "by the end of 2025")
- Status
- Due for review9 months ago
- Source
- 25 AI Predictions for 2025 (Marcus on AI) Primary: their own words
- Topics
- AGI
More from Gary Marcus
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 2025 | AGI will not arrive in 2026 or 2027.Open · target Dec 2027 | Dec 2027in 2026 (or 7) | AGI | Open |
| January 2025 | No one will release a humanoid robot remotely as capable as Rosie the Robot in 2025.Due for review · target Dec 2025 | Dec 20252025 | Robotics | Due for review |
Related predictions
Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.