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178 predictions · 163 still open

By the end of 2030 each leading lab will have compute to run hundreds of millions of human-level AIs.

Noam Brown, OpenAI

Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.

So you could have a situation where each of the labs, by the end of 2030 [...] has enough compute to run hundreds of millions of human-level intelligences, based on what the capabilities will be at that point.
Noam Brown, Dwarkesh Podcast: Noam Brown, Agent swarms, alignment, and recursive self-improvement (the quote as reported there). [...] marks words left out.
Who
Noam Brown, Researcher, OpenAI
Made
Sep 17, 2026 7 weeks ago
Target
Dec 31, 2030 in 4 years (stated as "by the end of 2030")
Status
Openin 4 years
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