Jack Clark predictions and outcomes
Co-founder, Anthropic; author of Import AI
3 predictions · 3 open · 0 due · none judged yet
Jack Clark's predictions
3 of 3 predictions, newest first
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | AI-run asteroid mining corporations may appear by 2033.Open · target Dec 2033 | Dec 2033by 2033 | AGI | Open |
| May 26, 2026 | A new class of technology (AI that builds AI) could arrive within two years.Open · target May 2028 | May 2028within the next two years | AGI | Open |
| May 4, 2026 | There is about a 60% chance of automated AI R&D, a model training its own successor, by the end of 2028.Open · target Dec 2028 | Dec 2028by the end of 2028 | AGI | Open |
Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.