Who predicted what

Predictions178Still open163

178 predictions · 163 still open

Jack Clark predictions and outcomes

Co-founder, Anthropic; author of Import AI · 3 predictions · 3 open · none judged yet

Anthropic
AGImade Aug 31, 2026, due Dec 2033AI-run asteroid mining corporations may appear by 2033.AGImade May 26, 2026, due May 2028A new class of technology (AI that builds AI) could arrive within two years.AGImade May 4, 2026, due Dec 2028There is about a 60% chance of automated AI R&D, a model training its own successor, by the end of 2028.