A new class of technology (AI that builds AI) could arrive within two years.
Jack Clark, Anthropic · made May 26, 2026 · target May 2028 · Open
That class of technology has never existed before, and yet I believe this could happen within the next two years, and possibly sooner.
The prediction
- Who
- Jack Clark, Co-founder, Anthropic; author of Import AI
- Made
- May 26, 2026
- Target
- May 26, 2028 (stated as "within the next two years")
- Status
- Openin 20 months
- Source
- Import AI 458 / 2026 Cosmos HAI Lab Lecture, Oxford Primary: their own words · original recording
- Topics
- AGI
More from Jack Clark
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | AI-run asteroid mining corporations may appear by 2033.Open · target Dec 2033 | Dec 2033by 2033 | AGI | Open |
| May 4, 2026 | There is about a 60% chance of automated AI R&D, a model training its own successor, by the end of 2028.Open · target Dec 2028 | Dec 2028by the end of 2028 | AGI | Open |
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Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.