A new class of technology (AI that builds AI) could arrive within two years.
Jack Clark, Anthropic
That class of technology has never existed before, and yet I believe this could happen within the next two years, and possibly sooner.
- Who
- Jack Clark, Co-founder, Anthropic; author of Import AI
- Made
- May 26, 2026 5 months ago
- Target
- May 26, 2028 in 1 year (stated as "within the next two years")
- Status
- Openin 19 months
- Source
- Import AI 458 / 2026 Cosmos HAI Lab Lecture, Oxford Primary: their own words · original recording
- Topics
- AGI
More from Jack Clark
Related predictions
By the end of 2030 each leading lab will have compute to run hundreds of millions of human-level AIs.
Noam Brown, OpenAIAGIAI research and development will be fully automated around 2030 to 2031.
Ryan Greenblatt, Redwood ResearchAgentsMost white-collar tasks done at a computer will be fully automated by AI within 12 to 18 months.
Mustafa Suleyman, MicrosoftAGIA "country of geniuses in a data center" will exist within ten years (90% confidence).
Dario Amodei, AnthropicPowerful AI, a "country of geniuses in a data center", will arrive in 2026, or 2027 at the latest.
Dario Amodei, AnthropicThere is a 90% chance of a country of geniuses in a data center within ten years, by 2035.
Dario Amodei, Anthropic