Anthropic predictions and outcomes
anthropic.com · 1 person
5 predictions · 3 open · 2 due · none judged yet
Predictions from Anthropic
5 of 5 predictions, newest first
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2025 | AI could eliminate half of entry-level white-collar jobs and push unemployment to as much as 20% within one to five years.Open · Unverified · Dario Amodei, Anthropic · target May 2030 | May 2030in the next one to five years | Jobs | Open |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Within three to six months, AI will be writing 90 percent of the code.Due for review · Dario Amodei, Anthropic · target Sep 2025 | Sep 2025three to six months | Coding | Due for review |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Within twelve months, AI may be writing essentially all of the code.Due for review · Dario Amodei, Anthropic · target Mar 2026 | Mar 2026in twelve months | Coding | Due for review |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Powerful AI systems will emerge in late 2026 or early 2027.Open · Anthropic · target Mar 2027 | Mar 2027late 2026 or early 2027 | AGI | Open |
| October 2024 | Powerful AI could arrive as early as 2026.Open · Dario Amodei, Anthropic · target Dec 2026 | Dec 2026as early as 2026 | AGI | Open |
People and links
| Person | Made | Hit rate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dario AmodeiCEO, Anthropic | 4 | 0 | - | Dec 2026in 3 months |
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Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.