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178 predictions · 163 still open

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Sam Altman predictions and outcomes

CEO, OpenAI · 8 predictions · 6 open · 2 due · none judged yet

OpenAI
AgentsUnverifiedmade Oct 28, 2025, due Dec 2028OpenAI will have a fully automated AI researcher by 2028.AgentsDue for reviewUnverifiedmade Oct 28, 2025, due Sep 2026OpenAI will have an intern-level AI research assistant by September 2026.AGImade Jun 2025, due Dec 2039In the 2030s intelligence and energy will become wildly abundant.Roboticsmade Jun 10, 2025, due Dec 20272027 may see robots that can do tasks in the real world.Sciencemade Jun 10, 2025, due Dec 20262026 will likely see AI systems that can figure out novel insights.AGImade Feb 2025, due Dec 2035By 2035 anyone will command intellectual capacity equal to everyone alive in 2025.AgentsDue for reviewmade Jan 6, 2025, due Dec 2025In 2025 the first AI agents may join the workforce and materially change the output of companies.AGImade Sep 23, 2024, due Dec 2032Superintelligence could arrive in a few thousand days.
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