By 2035 anyone will command intellectual capacity equal to everyone alive in 2025.
Sam Altman, OpenAI · made February 2025 · target Dec 2035 · Open
Anyone in 2035 should be able to marshall the intellectual capacity equivalent to everyone in 2025
The prediction
- Who
- Sam Altman, CEO, OpenAI
- Made
- February 2025
- Target
- Dec 31, 2035 (stated as "in 2035")
- Status
- Openin 9 years
- Source
- Three Observations (Sam Altman) Primary: their own words
- Topics
- AGI
More from Sam Altman
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | OpenAI will have a fully automated AI researcher by 2028.Open · Unverified · target Dec 2028 | Dec 2028by 2028 | Agents | Open |
| Oct 28, 2025 | OpenAI will have an intern-level AI research assistant by September 2026.Open · Unverified · target Sep 2026 | Sep 2026by September 2026 | Agents | Open |
| June 2025 | In the 2030s intelligence and energy will become wildly abundant.Open · target Dec 2039 | Dec 2039in the 2030s | AGI | Open |
| Jun 10, 2025 | 2027 may see robots that can do tasks in the real world.Open · target Dec 2027 | Dec 20272027 | Robotics | Open |
| Jun 10, 2025 | 2026 will likely see AI systems that can figure out novel insights.Open · target Dec 2026 | Dec 20262026 | Science | Open |
| Jan 6, 2025 | In 2025 the first AI agents may join the workforce and materially change the output of companies.Due for review · target Dec 2025 | Dec 2025in 2025 | Agents | Due for review |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Superintelligence could arrive in a few thousand days.Open · target Dec 2032 | Dec 2032in a few thousand days (about 3,000 days, read as late 2032) | AGI | Open |
Related predictions
Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.