OpenAI predictions and outcomes

openai.com · 4 people · 11 predictions · 9 open · 2 due · none judged yet

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OpenAI is an American artificial intelligence (AI) public benefit corporation (PBC) headquartered in San Francisco, California.

ComputeUnverifiedmade Sep 17, 2026, due Dec 2030By the end of 2030 each leading lab will have compute to run hundreds of millions of human-level AIs.Noam Brown, OpenAIAGIMarketsUnverifiedmade Jan 2026, due Dec 2026OpenAI will announce its first hardware device in the second half of 2026.Chris Lehane, OpenAIAgentsmade Jan 5, 2026, due Dec 2026In 2026 ChatGPT will become a personal super-assistant that gets things done.Fidji Simo, OpenAIAgentsUnverifiedmade Oct 28, 2025, due Dec 2028OpenAI will have a fully automated AI researcher by 2028.Sam Altman, OpenAIScienceAgentsDue for reviewUnverifiedmade Oct 28, 2025, due Sep 2026OpenAI will have an intern-level AI research assistant by September 2026.Sam Altman, OpenAIScienceAGImade Jun 2025, due Dec 2039In the 2030s intelligence and energy will become wildly abundant.Sam Altman, OpenAIComputeRoboticsmade Jun 10, 2025, due Dec 20272027 may see robots that can do tasks in the real world.Sam Altman, OpenAISciencemade Jun 10, 2025, due Dec 20262026 will likely see AI systems that can figure out novel insights.Sam Altman, OpenAIAGImade Feb 2025, due Dec 2035By 2035 anyone will command intellectual capacity equal to everyone alive in 2025.Sam Altman, OpenAIAgentsDue for reviewmade Jan 6, 2025, due Dec 2025In 2025 the first AI agents may join the workforce and materially change the output of companies.Sam Altman, OpenAIAGImade Sep 23, 2024, due Dec 2032Superintelligence could arrive in a few thousand days.Sam Altman, OpenAI

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Sam AltmanCEO, OpenAI8 predictions · 6 opennext due Dec 2026 in 7win 7 weeksChris LehaneChief Global Affairs Officer, OpenAI1 prediction · 1 opennext due Dec 2026 in 7win 7 weeksNBNoam BrownResearcher, OpenAI1 prediction · 1 opennext due Dec 2030 in 4yin 4 yearsFidji SimoCEO of Applications, OpenAI1 prediction · 1 opennext due Dec 2026 in 7win 7 weeks

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