OpenAI predictions and outcomes
openai.com · 1 person
6 predictions · 5 open · 1 due · none judged yet
Predictions from OpenAI
6 of 6 predictions, newest first
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | OpenAI will have a fully automated AI researcher by 2028.Open · Unverified · Sam Altman, OpenAI · target Dec 2028 | Dec 2028by 2028 | Agents | Open |
| Oct 28, 2025 | OpenAI will have an intern-level AI research assistant by September 2026.Open · Unverified · Sam Altman, OpenAI · target Sep 2026 | Sep 2026by September 2026 | Agents | Open |
| Jun 10, 2025 | 2027 may see robots that can do tasks in the real world.Open · Sam Altman, OpenAI · target Dec 2027 | Dec 20272027 | Robotics | Open |
| Jun 10, 2025 | 2026 will likely see AI systems that can figure out novel insights.Open · Sam Altman, OpenAI · target Dec 2026 | Dec 20262026 | Science | Open |
| Jan 6, 2025 | In 2025 the first AI agents may join the workforce and materially change the output of companies.Due for review · Sam Altman, OpenAI · target Dec 2025 | Dec 2025in 2025 | Agents | Due for review |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Superintelligence could arrive in a few thousand days.Open · Sam Altman, OpenAI · target Dec 2032 | Dec 2032in a few thousand days (about 3,000 days, read as late 2032) | AGI | Open |
People and links
| Person | Made | Hit rate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam AltmanCEO, OpenAI | 6 | 0 | - | Sep 2026in 6 days |
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Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.