Sholto Douglas predictions and outcomes
Researcher, Anthropic
2 predictions · 2 open · 0 due · none judged yet
Sholto Douglas's predictions
2 of 2 predictions, newest first
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2025 | The world will have 100 million H100-equivalent chips by 2028, up from 10 million.Open · Unverified · target Dec 2028 | Dec 2028by 2028 | Compute | Open |
| May 2025 | A drop-in AI white-collar worker will arrive within five years, very likely within two.Open · Unverified · target May 2030 | May 2030in the next five years | Agents | Open |
Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.