A drop-in AI white-collar worker will arrive within five years, very likely within two.
Sholto Douglas, Anthropic · made May 2025 · target May 2030 · Open
Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.
you get a drop-in white collar worker at some point in the next five years. I think it's very likely in two, but it seems almost overdetermined in five.
The prediction
- Who
- Sholto Douglas, Researcher, Anthropic
- Made
- May 2025
- Target
- May 22, 2030 (stated as "in the next five years")
- Status
- Openin 4 years
- Source
- Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken: How LLMs actually think (Dwarkesh Podcast transcript) Secondary: a report of what they said
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