The world will have 100 million H100-equivalent chips by 2028, up from 10 million.
Sholto Douglas, Anthropic · made May 2025 · target Dec 2028 · Open
Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.
Right now, there's 10 million H100 equivalents in the world. By 2028, there's going to be 100 million.
The prediction
- Who
- Sholto Douglas, Researcher, Anthropic
- Made
- May 2025
- Target
- Dec 31, 2028 (stated as "by 2028")
- Status
- Openin 2 years
- Source
- Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken: How LLMs actually think (Dwarkesh Podcast transcript) Secondary: a report of what they said
- Topics
- Compute
More from Sholto Douglas
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2025 | A drop-in AI white-collar worker will arrive within five years, very likely within two.Open · Unverified · target May 2030 | May 2030in the next five years | Agents | Open |
Related predictions
Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.