AI will add about 8.3% to US GDP by 2030.
Azeem Azhar, Exponential View · made Sep 13, 2026 · target Dec 2030 · Open
Our own models land closer to Anthropic’s “substantial scenario,” where AI adds about 8.3% to US GDP by 2030, so its impact is initially slightly lower than the Internet’s at its peak before picking up rapidly.
The prediction
- Who
- Azeem Azhar, Founder, Exponential View
- Made
- Sep 13, 2026
- Target
- Dec 31, 2030 (stated as "by 2030")
- Status
- Openin 4 years
- Source
- Look up, the curve turned #601 Primary: their own words · original recording
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Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.