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178 predictions · 163 still open

Markets predictions

Market size, spending and adoption forecasts.

Marketsmade Sep 17, 2026, due Dec 2030Asia/Pacific AI and GenAI spending will grow from $121.5 billion in 2025 to $555.2 billion by 2030.IDCMarketsmade Sep 17, 2026, due Dec 2030European AI spending will reach nearly $470 billion in 2030.IDCMarketsmade Sep 13, 2026, due Dec 2030AI will add about 8.3% to US GDP by 2030.Azeem Azhar, Exponential ViewJobsDatamade Sep 2, 2026, due Jan 2027Snowflake product revenue for fiscal 2027 will be about $6.07 billion, up 36%.SnowflakeMarketsComputeDue for reviewmade Aug 26, 2026, due Oct 2026Nvidia revenue for the third quarter of fiscal 2027 will be about $108 billion, plus or minus 2%.NvidiaMarketsMarketsUnverifiedmade Aug 2026, due Dec 2028Global AI investment will rise to 1.4% of world GDP in 2028.Goldman SachsComputeComputemade Jul 23, 2026, due Dec 2030AI demand will lift AMD's total addressable market to about $2 trillion in 2030.Lisa Su, AMDMarketsMarketsUnverifiedmade Jul 2026, due Dec 2028AI spending could reach $1.4 trillion in 2028.Morgan StanleyComputeComputemade Jul 16, 2026, due Dec 2030Demand for AI chips will stay very strong through about 2029 or 2030.C.C. Wei, TSMCMarketsComputemade Jul 16, 2026, due Dec 2026TSMC revenue will grow slightly more than 40% in 2026, in US dollars.C.C. Wei, TSMCMarketsComputeUnverifiedmade cited July 2026, due Dec 2030Data centers will need $6.7 trillion of investment worldwide by 2030, $5.2 trillion of it for AI.McKinsey & CompanyMarketsCodingUnverifiedmade Jun 2026, due Dec 2028AI coding will cost more than an average developer's salary by 2028 as token prices rise.GartnerMarketsMarketsUnverifiedmade May 2026, due Dec 2026Worldwide AI spending will rise 47% in 2026 to $2.59 trillion.GartnerComputemade Apr 2026, due Dec 2029The global AI infrastructure market will pass $1 trillion by 2029.IDCMarketsComputemade Apr 2026, due Dec 2026AI infrastructure spending will reach $487 billion in 2026, up about 53%.IDCMarketsComputeUnverifiedmade Apr 2026, due Dec 2026Capital spending by five large technology companies will rise another 75% in 2026, from over $400 billion in 2025.International Energy AgencyMarketsComputemade Mar 16, 2026, due Dec 2027Nvidia will make at least $1 trillion in revenue from 2025 through 2027.Jensen Huang, NvidiaMarketsAgentsmade Mar 2026, due Dec 2029Agentic AI will exceed 26% of worldwide IT spending, about $1.3 trillion, in 2029.IDCMarketsComputemade Feb 5, 2026, due Dec 2026Amazon will spend about $200 billion on capital expenditures in 2026.Andy Jassy, AmazonMarketsComputeUnverifiedmade January 2026 (Big Ideas 2026), due Dec 2030AI infrastructure spending will grow from $500 billion to $1.4 trillion in 2030.ARK InvestMarketsMarketsUnverifiedmade Jan 2026, due Dec 2026OpenAI will announce its first hardware device in the second half of 2026.Chris Lehane, OpenAIMarketsmade Dec 2025, due Dec 2026In 2026 a club of startups going from $0 to $1 billion in revenue will emerge.David Cahn, Sequoia CapitalAGImade Dec 2025, due Dec 2030By 2030 labs will have made real progress on continual learning and models will earn hundreds of billions, without automating all knowledge work.Dwarkesh Patel, Dwarkesh PodcastMarketsAgentsmade Nov 2025, due Dec 2030With better orchestration the agentic AI market could reach $45 billion in 2030.DeloitteMarketsAgentsmade Nov 2025, due Dec 2026Up to half of organizations will put more than 50% of digital transformation budgets toward AI automation in 2026.DeloitteMarketsComputemade Nov 2025, due Dec 2026The market for inference-optimized chips will grow to over $50 billion in 2026.DeloitteMarketsAgentsUnverifiedmade cited November 2025, due Dec 203035% of point-product SaaS tools will be replaced by AI agents or absorbed into agent ecosystems by 2030.GartnerMarketsMarketsUnverifiedmade Oct 2025, due Dec 2027Enterprises will defer 25% of their planned 2026 AI spending until 2027.ForresterDataUnverifiedmade October 2025 (Gartner IT Symposium/Xpo), due Dec 202735% of countries will be locked into region-specific AI platforms by 2027.GartnerMarketsAgentsUnverifiedmade October 2025 (Gartner IT Symposium/Xpo), due Dec 2028AI agents will intermediate more than $15 trillion of B2B spending by 2028.GartnerMarketsComputemade Jun 2024, due Dec 2027Total AI investment could exceed $1 trillion a year by 2027.Leopold Aschenbrenner, Situational Awareness LPMarkets