Predictionsby GlyphJobs predictions
What AI does to employment and wages.
AI will add about 8.3% to US GDP by 2030.
Azeem Azhar, Exponential ViewJobsAgents will make AI as fundamental as electricity for knowledge work within 18 months.
Nathan Lambert, InterconnectsJobs60% of organizations will run smaller software engineering teams by 2029, up from 15% in 2026.
GartnerJobsHalf of organizations planning to sharply cut contact center headcount due to AI will drop those plans by 2027.Gartner30% to 50% of work hours and activities could be transformed by AI within three to five years.
Anu Madgavkar, McKinsey & CompanyAI will cause 49% of current customer service jobs to disappear by 2030.
ForresterAI will bring a three and a half day workweek within 30 years.
Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan ChaseAI could displace about 6-7% of workers, up to 300 million jobs worldwide, over the next decade.
Goldman SachsUnemployment among new college graduates could reach the mid-30s percent within a couple of years.
Bill McDermott, ServiceNowAgentsMost companies will make similar AI-driven structural job cuts within a year.
Jack Dorsey, BlockBy the end of 2026 everyone will code and the software engineer title will start to go away.
Boris Cherny, AnthropicJobsKlarna's workforce will fall from about 3,000 to fewer than 2,000 by 2030, through attrition.
Sebastian Siemiatkowski, KlarnaMost white-collar tasks done at a computer will be fully automated by AI within 12 to 18 months.
Mustafa Suleyman, MicrosoftAGIAI will disrupt half of entry-level white-collar jobs within one to five years.
Dario Amodei, AnthropicAI will account for about 6% of US job losses, around 10.4 million roles, by 2030.ForresterMcKinsey will have as many personalized AI agents as employees by the end of 2026.
Bob Sternfels, McKinsey & CompanyJobsAI models may do most or all of what software engineers do, end to end, within six to 12 months.Dario Amodei, AnthropicJobs75% of hiring processes will test AI proficiency by 2027.GartnerA third of CIOs will adopt gig-worker protocols and agents to support multi-job IT employees in 2026.ForresterJobsAI will reduce Amazon's total corporate workforce in the next few years.
Andy Jassy, AmazonAI could eliminate half of entry-level white-collar jobs and push unemployment to as much as 20% within one to five years.Dario Amodei, AnthropicWhite-collar job tasks will be automated within five years even if AI progress stalls.Trenton Bricken, AnthropicA drop-in AI white-collar worker will arrive within five years, very likely within two.Sholto Douglas, AnthropicJobsAI Engineer jobs will outnumber ML Engineer jobs within five years.
Shawn Wang (swyx), Latent Space