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White-collar job tasks will be automated within five years even if AI progress stalls.

Trenton Bricken, Anthropic · made May 2025 · target May 2030 · Open

Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.

these white collar job tasks, such that to Sholto's point we should expect to see them automated within the next five years.
Trenton Bricken, Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken: How LLMs actually think (Dwarkesh Podcast transcript) (the quote as reported there)

The prediction

Who
Trenton Bricken, Researcher, Anthropic
Made
May 2025
Target
May 22, 2030 (stated as "within the next five years")
Status
Openin 4 years
Source
Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken: How LLMs actually think (Dwarkesh Podcast transcript) Secondary: a report of what they said
Topics
Jobs

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Links
Anthropic on Companies (companies.fru.dev)

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