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Within one or two years models will do much more involved tasks than today.

John Schulman, Thinking Machines Lab · made May 15, 2024 · target May 2026 · Due for review

Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.

Even in one or two years, we'll find that the models can do a lot more involved tasks than they can do now.
John Schulman, Dwarkesh Podcast: Reasoning, RLHF, and Plan for 2027 AGI (the quote as reported there)

The prediction

Who
John Schulman, Chief Scientist, Thinking Machines Lab
Made
May 15, 2024
Target
May 15, 2026 (stated as "in one or two years")
Status
Due for review4 months ago
Topics
Agents

Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.

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