Predictionsby GlyphAgents predictions
AI agents that do work on their own: assistants, researchers, coworkers.
By 2028, 42% of the world's largest companies will have rationalized their entire agent and app portfolio.
IDCAgents will make AI as fundamental as electricity for knowledge work within 18 months.
Nathan Lambert, InterconnectsJobsAI research and development will be fully automated around 2030 to 2031.
Ryan Greenblatt, Redwood ResearchAgentsWithin five years billions of people will have a personal AI agent working for them around the clock.
Mark Zuckerberg, MetaMore than one in ten enterprises will be AI-first by 2030.
GartnerDataThere is about a 60% chance of automated AI R&D, a model training its own successor, by the end of 2028.
Jack Clark, AnthropicAgentsAgentic AI will exceed 26% of worldwide IT spending, about $1.3 trillion, in 2029.IDCMarketsAbout three billion digital agents will be added to enterprises by 2030.
Bill McDermott, ServiceNowUnemployment among new college graduates could reach the mid-30s percent within a couple of years.Bill McDermott, ServiceNowAgentsAI agents will reach a time horizon of over 100 hours on METR-style software tasks by the end of 2026.
Ajeya Cotra, METRCodingBot traffic online will exceed human traffic in 2027.
Matthew Prince, CloudflareDataDigital human emulation, AI that can do any job done at a computer, will be solved by the end of 2026.
Elon Musk, xAIAGI2026 will be the year of long-horizon agents, which are functionally AGI.
Pat Grady, Sequoia CapitalAGIMcKinsey will have as many personalized AI agents as employees by the end of 2026.
Bob Sternfels, McKinsey & CompanyJobsIn 2026 ChatGPT will become a personal super-assistant that gets things done.
Fidji Simo, OpenAIAI may be one to two years from the point where it autonomously builds its own next generation.
Dario Amodei, AnthropicAgentsAgentic automation will enhance more than 40% of enterprise applications by 2027.IDCAgent use at the world's 2,000 largest companies will rise tenfold by 2027, with token and API loads up a thousandfold.IDCComputeMore than one billion AI agents will be actively deployed worldwide by 2029.IDCCompanies without AI-ready data will suffer a 15% productivity loss by 2027.IDCAgentsWith better orchestration the agentic AI market could reach $45 billion in 2030.
DeloitteMarketsUp to half of organizations will put more than 50% of digital transformation budgets toward AI automation in 2026.DeloitteMarkets35% of point-product SaaS tools will be replaced by AI agents or absorbed into agent ecosystems by 2030.GartnerMarketsOpenAI will have a fully automated AI researcher by 2028.
Sam Altman, OpenAIScienceOpenAI will have an intern-level AI research assistant by September 2026.Sam Altman, OpenAIScienceAI agents will intermediate more than $15 trillion of B2B spending by 2028.GartnerMarketsMaking AI agents work like an employee will take about a decade.
Andrej Karpathy, Eureka LabsAGIA third of CIOs will adopt gig-worker protocols and agents to support multi-job IT employees in 2026.
ForresterJobsOver 40% of agentic AI projects will be cancelled by the end of 2027.GartnerAI will do a small business's taxes end to end as well as a competent manager by 2028 (50/50 bet).
Dwarkesh Patel, Dwarkesh PodcastAI will learn on the job as well as a human, for example a video editor after six months, by 2032 (50/50 bet).Dwarkesh Patel, Dwarkesh PodcastAgentsA drop-in AI white-collar worker will arrive within five years, very likely within two.Sholto Douglas, AnthropicJobsBy the end of 2025 AI computer-use agents will be able to book a flight.
Ege Erdil, MechanizeBy the end of 2025 AI agents will stop making basic mouse-click errors in computer use.
Daniel Kokotajlo, AI Futures ProjectBy 2028 AI models could have beyond-human reasoning and complete multi-week projects autonomously.
Benjamin Todd, 80,000 HoursAgentsIn 2025 Meta and others will have an AI that can work like a midlevel engineer.Mark Zuckerberg, MetaAgentsIn 2025 the first AI agents may join the workforce and materially change the output of companies.Sam Altman, OpenAIWithin one or two years models will do much more involved tasks than today.
John Schulman, Thinking Machines Lab