Predictionsby GlyphDwarkesh Podcast predictions and outcomes
dwarkesh.com · 1 person · 3 predictions · 3 open · none judged yet
By 2030 labs will have made real progress on continual learning and models will earn hundreds of billions, without automating all knowledge work.
Dwarkesh Patel, Dwarkesh PodcastMarketsAI will do a small business's taxes end to end as well as a competent manager by 2028 (50/50 bet).Dwarkesh Patel, Dwarkesh PodcastAI will learn on the job as well as a human, for example a video editor after six months, by 2032 (50/50 bet).Dwarkesh Patel, Dwarkesh PodcastAgents