By 2030 labs will have made real progress on continual learning and models will earn hundreds of billions, without automating all knowledge work.
Dwarkesh Patel, Dwarkesh Podcast
I expect that by 2030 that the labs will have made significant progress on my hobby horse of continual learning, and the models will start earning 100s of billions in revenue, but they won't have automated all knowledge work
- Who
- Dwarkesh Patel, Host, Dwarkesh Podcast
- Made
- December 2025 11 months ago
- Target
- Dec 31, 2030 in 4 years (stated as "by 2030")
- Status
- Openin 4 years
- Source
- Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025) (Dwarkesh Patel) Primary: their own words
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