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Dwarkesh Patel

By 2030 labs will have made real progress on continual learning and models will earn hundreds of billions, without automating all knowledge work.

Dwarkesh Patel, Dwarkesh Podcast

I expect that by 2030 that the labs will have made significant progress on my hobby horse of continual learning, and the models will start earning 100s of billions in revenue, but they won't have automated all knowledge work
Dwarkesh Patel, Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025) (Dwarkesh Patel)
Who
Dwarkesh Patel, Host, Dwarkesh Podcast
Made
December 2025 11 months ago
Target
Dec 31, 2030 in 4 years (stated as "by 2030")
Status
Openin 4 years

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