Predictionsby GlyphDwarkesh Patel predictions and outcomes
Host, Dwarkesh Podcast · 3 predictions · 3 open · none judged yet
By 2030 labs will have made real progress on continual learning and models will earn hundreds of billions, without automating all knowledge work.AI will do a small business's taxes end to end as well as a competent manager by 2028 (50/50 bet).AI will learn on the job as well as a human, for example a video editor after six months, by 2032 (50/50 bet).