Predictionsby GlyphAI will do a small business's taxes end to end as well as a competent manager by 2028 (50/50 bet).
Dwarkesh Patel, Dwarkesh Podcast
here are the timelines where I'd take a 50/50 bet: AI can do taxes end-to-end for my small business as well as a competent general manager could in a week
- Who
- Dwarkesh Patel, Host, Dwarkesh Podcast
- Made
- June 2025 1 year ago
- Target
- Dec 31, 2028 in 2 years (stated as "2028 (50/50)")
- Status
- Openin 2 years
- Source
- Why I don't think AGI is right around the corner (Dwarkesh Patel) Primary: their own words
- Topics
- Agents
More from Dwarkesh Patel
Related predictions
By 2028, 42% of the world's largest companies will have rationalized their entire agent and app portfolio.
IDCAgents will make AI as fundamental as electricity for knowledge work within 18 months.
Nathan Lambert, InterconnectsJobsAI research and development will be fully automated around 2030 to 2031.
Ryan Greenblatt, Redwood ResearchAgentsWithin five years billions of people will have a personal AI agent working for them around the clock.
Mark Zuckerberg, MetaMore than one in ten enterprises will be AI-first by 2030.
GartnerDataThere is about a 60% chance of automated AI R&D, a model training its own successor, by the end of 2028.
Jack Clark, AnthropicAgents