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178 predictions · 163 still open

Dwarkesh Patel

AI will learn on the job as well as a human, for example a video editor after six months, by 2032 (50/50 bet).

Dwarkesh Patel, Dwarkesh Podcast

if I hire an AI video editor, after six months, it has as much actionable, deep understanding of my preferences, our channel, what works for the audience, etc as a human would: 2032
Dwarkesh Patel, Why I don't think AGI is right around the corner (Dwarkesh Patel)
Who
Dwarkesh Patel, Host, Dwarkesh Podcast
Made
June 2025 1 year ago
Target
Dec 31, 2032 in 6 years (stated as "2032 (50/50)")
Status
Openin 6 years

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