xAI predictions and outcomes
x.ai · 1 person
5 predictions · 5 open · 0 due · none judged yet
Predictions from xAI
5 of 5 predictions, newest first
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | AI will exceed the combined intelligence of all humans in about five or six years.Open · Unverified · Elon Musk, xAI · target Feb 2032 | Feb 2032in five or six years | AGI | Open |
| Feb 5, 2026 | China will make compelling AI chips within three or four years.Open · Unverified · Elon Musk, xAI · target Feb 2030 | Feb 2030in three or four years | Compute | Open |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Digital human emulation, AI that can do any job done at a computer, will be solved by the end of 2026.Open · Unverified · Elon Musk, xAI · target Dec 2026 | Dec 2026by the end of this year | Agents | Open |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Within 36 months space will be the most economically compelling place to run AI.Open · Unverified · Elon Musk, xAI · target Feb 2029 | Feb 2029In 36 months | Compute | Open |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Within five years more AI compute will be launched to space each year than exists on Earth in total.Open · Unverified · Elon Musk, xAI · target Feb 2031 | Feb 2031five years from now | Compute | Open |
People and links
| Person | Made | Hit rate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon MuskCEO, Tesla | 7 | 1 | 0% | Dec 2026in 3 months |
Also onAcquisitions
Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.