Predictionsby GlyphChina will make compelling AI chips within three or four years.
Elon Musk, xAI
Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.
But I think China’s going to be making pretty compelling chips in three or four years.
- Who
- Elon Musk, CEO, Tesla
- Made
- Feb 5, 2026 9 months ago
- Target
- Feb 5, 2030 in 3 years (stated as "in three or four years")
- Status
- Openin 3 years
- Source
- Dwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space Secondary: a report of what they said · original recording
- Topics
- Compute
More from Elon Musk
AI will exceed the combined intelligence of all humans in about five or six years.Digital human emulation, AI that can do any job done at a computer, will be solved by the end of 2026.Within 36 months space will be the most economically compelling place to run AI.Within five years more AI compute will be launched to space each year than exists on Earth in total.Tesla will not reach significant Optimus production volume until about the end of 2026.Tesla will have more than one million robotaxis on the road the following year.
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