Predictionsby GlyphElon Musk predictions and outcomes
CEO, Tesla · 7 predictions · 6 open · 1 judged, hit rate 0%
AI will exceed the combined intelligence of all humans in about five or six years.China will make compelling AI chips within three or four years.Digital human emulation, AI that can do any job done at a computer, will be solved by the end of 2026.Within 36 months space will be the most economically compelling place to run AI.Within five years more AI compute will be launched to space each year than exists on Earth in total.Tesla will not reach significant Optimus production volume until about the end of 2026.Tesla will have more than one million robotaxis on the road the following year.
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Judged so far: 0 came true, 0 partly, 1 missed (hit rate 0%; partly counts half).