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Digital human emulation, AI that can do any job done at a computer, will be solved by the end of 2026.

Elon Musk, xAI · made Feb 5, 2026 · target Dec 2026 · Open

Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.

I’d be surprised by the end of this year if digital human emulation has not been solved.
Elon Musk, Dwarkesh Podcast: Elon Musk, In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space (the quote as reported there)

The prediction

Who
Elon Musk, CEO, Tesla
Made
Feb 5, 2026
Target
Dec 31, 2026 (stated as "by the end of this year")
Status
Openin 3 months
Source
Dwarkesh Podcast: Elon Musk, In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space Secondary: a report of what they said
Topics
Agents,AGI

More from Elon Musk

Prediction
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Within 36 months space will be the most economically compelling place to run AI.Open · Unverified · target Feb 2029
Within five years more AI compute will be launched to space each year than exists on Earth in total.Open · Unverified · target Feb 2031
Tesla will not reach significant Optimus production volume until about the end of 2026.Open · Unverified · target Dec 2026
Tesla will have more than one million robotaxis on the road the following year.Missed · Unverified · target Dec 2020

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Links
xAI on Companies (companies.fru.dev)

Also onAcquisitions

Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.

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