Predictionsby GlyphDigital human emulation, AI that can do any job done at a computer, will be solved by the end of 2026.
Elon Musk, xAI
Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.
I’d be surprised by the end of this year if digital human emulation has not been solved.
- Who
- Elon Musk, CEO, Tesla
- Made
- Feb 5, 2026 9 months ago
- Target
- Dec 31, 2026 in 7 weeks (stated as "by the end of this year")
- Status
- Openin 7 weeks
- Source
- Dwarkesh Podcast: Elon Musk, In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space Secondary: a report of what they said
More from Elon Musk
AI will exceed the combined intelligence of all humans in about five or six years.China will make compelling AI chips within three or four years.Within 36 months space will be the most economically compelling place to run AI.Within five years more AI compute will be launched to space each year than exists on Earth in total.Tesla will not reach significant Optimus production volume until about the end of 2026.Tesla will have more than one million robotaxis on the road the following year.
Related predictions
By 2028, 42% of the world's largest companies will have rationalized their entire agent and app portfolio.
IDCBy the end of 2030 each leading lab will have compute to run hundreds of millions of human-level AIs.
Noam Brown, OpenAIAGIAgents will make AI as fundamental as electricity for knowledge work within 18 months.
Nathan Lambert, InterconnectsJobsAI-run asteroid mining corporations may appear by 2033.
Jack Clark, AnthropicAI research and development will be fully automated around 2030 to 2031.
Ryan Greenblatt, Redwood ResearchAgentsWithin five years billions of people will have a personal AI agent working for them around the clock.
Mark Zuckerberg, Meta