Predictionsby GlyphWithin 36 months space will be the most economically compelling place to run AI.
Elon Musk, xAI
Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.
In 36 months, but probably closer to 30 months, the most economically compelling place to put AI will be space.
- Who
- Elon Musk, CEO, Tesla
- Made
- Feb 5, 2026 9 months ago
- Target
- Feb 5, 2029 in 2 years (stated as "In 36 months")
- Status
- Openin 2 years
- Source
- Dwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space Secondary: a report of what they said · original recording
- Topics
- Compute
More from Elon Musk
AI will exceed the combined intelligence of all humans in about five or six years.China will make compelling AI chips within three or four years.Digital human emulation, AI that can do any job done at a computer, will be solved by the end of 2026.Within five years more AI compute will be launched to space each year than exists on Earth in total.Tesla will not reach significant Optimus production volume until about the end of 2026.Tesla will have more than one million robotaxis on the road the following year.
Related predictions
By the end of 2030 each leading lab will have compute to run hundreds of millions of human-level AIs.
Noam Brown, OpenAIAGIAt least two countries will turn data-center ratepayer protection into tariffs or equivalent obligations in 2027.
ForresterThere will be no meaningful relief in memory supply for enterprise storage before 2028.
IDCComputeNvidia revenue for the third quarter of fiscal 2027 will be about $108 billion, plus or minus 2%.
NvidiaMarketsChina will have 30 gigawatts of AI compute or less in 2028.
Dylan Patel, SemiAnalysisBy the end of 2027 half of the world's incremental new compute will go to Anthropic and OpenAI.Dylan Patel, SemiAnalysis