2026 will be the year of long-horizon agents, which are functionally AGI.

Pat Grady, Sequoia Capital · made Jan 14, 2026 · target Dec 2026 · Open

Long-horizon agents are functionally AGI, and 2026 will be their year.

Pat Grady, 2026: This is AGI

The prediction

Who: Pat Grady, Partner, Sequoia Capital
Made: Jan 14, 2026
Target: Dec 31, 2026 (stated as "2026")
Status: Openin 3 months
Source: 2026: This is AGI Primary: their own words · original recording
Topics: Agents,AGI

Made	Prediction	Target	Topic	Status
September 2026	By 2028, 42% of the world's largest companies will have rationalized their entire agent and app portfolio.Open · IDC · target Dec 2028	Dec 2028by 2028	Agents	Open
Sep 17, 2026	By the end of 2030 each leading lab will have compute to run hundreds of millions of human-level AIs.Open · Unverified · Noam Brown, OpenAI · target Dec 2030	Dec 2030by the end of 2030	Compute	Open
Sep 9, 2026	Agents will make AI as fundamental as electricity for knowledge work within 18 months.Open · Nathan Lambert, Interconnects · target Mar 2028	Mar 2028in the next 18 months	Agents	Open
Aug 31, 2026	AI-run asteroid mining corporations may appear by 2033.Open · Jack Clark, Anthropic · target Dec 2033	Dec 2033by 2033	AGI	Open
Aug 11, 2026	AI research and development will be fully automated around 2030 to 2031.Open · Unverified · Ryan Greenblatt, Redwood Research · target Dec 2031	Dec 2031around 2031, 2030	AGI	Open
Jul 29, 2026	Within five years billions of people will have a personal AI agent working for them around the clock.Open · Unverified · Mark Zuckerberg, Meta · target Jul 2031	Jul 2031five years from now	Agents	Open

Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.

The prediction

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