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By 2028 AI models could have beyond-human reasoning and complete multi-week projects autonomously.

Benjamin Todd, 80,000 Hours · made March 2025 · target Dec 2028 · Open

extrapolating the recent rate of progress suggests that, by 2028, we could reach AI models with beyond-human reasoning abilities, expert-level knowledge in every domain, and that can autonomously complete multi-week projects
Benjamin Todd, Will we have AGI by 2030? (80,000 Hours)

The prediction

Who
Benjamin Todd, Co-founder, 80,000 Hours
Made
March 2025
Target
Dec 31, 2028 (stated as "by 2028")
Status
Openin 2 years
Source
Will we have AGI by 2030? (80,000 Hours) Primary: their own words
Topics
AGI,Agents

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Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.

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