Within 12 to 18 months, most of the code for Meta's Llama efforts will be written by AI.
Mark Zuckerberg, Meta · made Apr 29, 2025 · target Oct 2026 · Open
I would guess that sometime in the next 12 to 18 months, we'll reach the point where most of the code that's going toward these efforts is written by AI.
The prediction
- Who
- Mark Zuckerberg, CEO, Meta
- Made
- Apr 29, 2025
- Target
- Oct 29, 2026 (stated as "sometime in the next 12 to 18 months")
- Status
- Openin 5 weeks
- Source
- Dwarkesh Podcast (transcript) Primary: their own words
- Topics
- Coding
More from Mark Zuckerberg
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | In 2025 Meta and others will have an AI that can work like a midlevel engineer.Due for review · Unverified · target Dec 2025 | Dec 2025probably in 2025 | Coding | Due for review |
Related predictions
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | Within three to six months, AI will be writing 90 percent of the code.Due for review · Dario Amodei, Anthropic · target Sep 2025 | Sep 2025three to six months | Coding | Due for review |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Within twelve months, AI may be writing essentially all of the code.Due for review · Dario Amodei, Anthropic · target Mar 2026 | Mar 2026in twelve months | Coding | Due for review |
Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.