Coding predictions
4 predictions, the next due Oct 2026. How much code AI writes, and AI software engineers.
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4 of 4 predictions, newest first
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2025 | Within 12 to 18 months, most of the code for Meta's Llama efforts will be written by AI.Open · Mark Zuckerberg, Meta · target Oct 2026 | Oct 2026sometime in the next 12 to 18 months | Coding | Open |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Within three to six months, AI will be writing 90 percent of the code.Due for review · Dario Amodei, Anthropic · target Sep 2025 | Sep 2025three to six months | Coding | Due for review |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Within twelve months, AI may be writing essentially all of the code.Due for review · Dario Amodei, Anthropic · target Mar 2026 | Mar 2026in twelve months | Coding | Due for review |
| Jan 10, 2025 | In 2025 Meta and others will have an AI that can work like a midlevel engineer.Due for review · Unverified · Mark Zuckerberg, Meta · target Dec 2025 | Dec 2025probably in 2025 | Coding | Due for review |
Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.