Predictionsby GlyphCoding predictions
How much code AI writes, and AI software engineers.
60% of organizations will run smaller software engineering teams by 2029, up from 15% in 2026.
GartnerJobsAI coding will cost more than an average developer's salary by 2028 as token prices rise.GartnerMarketsAI agents will reach a time horizon of over 100 hours on METR-style software tasks by the end of 2026.
Ajeya Cotra, METRCodingBy the end of 2026 everyone will code and the software engineer title will start to go away.
Boris Cherny, AnthropicJobsAI will reach the level of top coders within one or two years.
Dario Amodei, AnthropicAI models may do most or all of what software engineers do, end to end, within six to 12 months.Dario Amodei, AnthropicJobsBy 2030 AI will autonomously fix issues, implement features and solve hard, well-defined scientific programming problems.
Epoch AIWithin 12 to 18 months, most of the code for Meta's Llama efforts will be written by AI.
Mark Zuckerberg, MetaWithin three to six months, AI will be writing 90 percent of the code.Dario Amodei, AnthropicWithin twelve months, AI may be writing essentially all of the code.Dario Amodei, AnthropicIn 2025 Meta and others will have an AI that can work like a midlevel engineer.Mark Zuckerberg, MetaAgentsBy 2027 AI models will be able to do the work of an AI researcher or engineer.
Leopold Aschenbrenner, Situational Awareness LPCoding