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AI agents will reach a time horizon of over 100 hours on METR-style software tasks by the end of 2026.

Ajeya Cotra, METR

If we could measure this, I’d guess that by the end of the year, AI agents will have a time horizon of over 100 hours on the sorts of software tasks in METR’s suite [...]
Ajeya Cotra, Planned Obsolescence: I underestimated AI capabilities (again). [...] marks words left out.
Who
Ajeya Cotra, Researcher, METR
Made
Mar 5, 2026 8 months ago
Target
Dec 31, 2026 in 7 weeks (stated as "by the end of the year")
Status
Openin 7 weeks

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