Predictionsby GlyphAI models may do most or all of what software engineers do, end to end, within six to 12 months.
Dario Amodei, Anthropic
Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.
We might be six to 12 months away from when the model is doing most, maybe all of what software engineers do end-to-end.
- Who
- Dario Amodei, CEO, Anthropic
- Made
- January 2026 10 months ago
- Target
- Jan 31, 2027 in 2 months (stated as "six to 12 months")
- Status
- Openin 3 months
- Source
- Fortune Secondary: a report of what they said
More from Dario Amodei
AI could cure most major diseases within the next five to ten years.A "country of geniuses in a data center" will exist within ten years (90% confidence).AI will reach the level of top coders within one or two years.Powerful AI, a "country of geniuses in a data center", will arrive in 2026, or 2027 at the latest.There is a 90% chance of a country of geniuses in a data center within ten years, by 2035.Models equal to a country of geniuses in a data center could exist within one to two years.AI will disrupt half of entry-level white-collar jobs within one to five years.AI may be one to two years from the point where it autonomously builds its own next generation.AI could eliminate half of entry-level white-collar jobs and push unemployment to as much as 20% within one to five years.Interpretability will reliably detect most model problems by 2027.Within three to six months, AI will be writing 90 percent of the code.Within twelve months, AI may be writing essentially all of the code.AI smarter than almost all humans at almost all things will most likely arrive in 2026 or 2027.Powerful AI could arrive as early as 2026.
Related predictions
AI will add about 8.3% to US GDP by 2030.
Azeem Azhar, Exponential ViewJobsAgents will make AI as fundamental as electricity for knowledge work within 18 months.
Nathan Lambert, InterconnectsJobs60% of organizations will run smaller software engineering teams by 2029, up from 15% in 2026.
GartnerJobsAI coding will cost more than an average developer's salary by 2028 as token prices rise.GartnerMarketsHalf of organizations planning to sharply cut contact center headcount due to AI will drop those plans by 2027.Gartner30% to 50% of work hours and activities could be transformed by AI within three to five years.
Anu Madgavkar, McKinsey & Company