Predictionsby GlyphTesla will have more than one million robotaxis on the road the following year.
Elon Musk, Tesla
Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.
As reported:"We will have more than one million robotaxis on the road," Musk said. "A year from now, we'll have over a million cars with full self-driving, software... everything."
- Who
- Elon Musk, CEO, Tesla
- Made
- Apr 22, 2019 7 years ago
- Target
- Dec 31, 2020 5 years ago (stated as "next year (2020)")
- Status
- Missed
- Outcome
- Tesla's robotaxi service began as a limited service in Austin, Texas, on June 22, 2025; there were no robotaxis on the road in 2020. Evidence Judged Sep 24, 2026 6 weeks ago
- Source
- The Verge, from Tesla Autonomy Day Secondary: a report of what they said
- Topics
- Self-driving
History
More from Elon Musk
AI will exceed the combined intelligence of all humans in about five or six years.China will make compelling AI chips within three or four years.Digital human emulation, AI that can do any job done at a computer, will be solved by the end of 2026.Within 36 months space will be the most economically compelling place to run AI.Within five years more AI compute will be launched to space each year than exists on Earth in total.Tesla will not reach significant Optimus production volume until about the end of 2026.
Related predictions
Aurora will have more than 30,000 driverless trucks in operation by 2030.
AuroraWayve's AI Driver will reach Mercedes-Benz customers for urban point-to-point driving assistance within two years.
WayveAurora will put hundreds of driverless trucks on the road in 2026.
Chris Urmson, AuroraRivian will reach hands-off, eyes-off driving in 2027.
RJ Scaringe, RivianUber and Rivian robotaxis will run in 25 cities in the US, Canada and Europe by the end of 2031.
UberUber and Nvidia robotaxis will launch in Los Angeles and San Francisco in the first half of 2027 and reach 28 cities by 2028.Uber