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Tesla will have more than one million robotaxis on the road the following year.

Elon Musk, Tesla · made Apr 22, 2019 · target Dec 2020 · Missed

Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.

As reported:"We will have more than one million robotaxis on the road," Musk said. "A year from now, we'll have over a million cars with full self-driving, software... everything."

The Verge, from Tesla Autonomy Day

The prediction

Who
Elon Musk, CEO, Tesla
Made
Apr 22, 2019
Target
Dec 31, 2020 (stated as "next year (2020)")
Status
Missed
Outcome
Tesla's robotaxi service began as a limited service in Austin, Texas, on June 22, 2025; there were no robotaxis on the road in 2020. Evidence Judged Sep 24, 2026
Source
The Verge, from Tesla Autonomy Day Secondary: a report of what they said

History

DateWhat changed
Sep 24, 2026Outcome: Open to Missed. Tesla's robotaxi service began as a limited service in Austin, Texas, on June 22, 2025; there were no robotaxis on the road in 2020.
Sep 24, 2026Added
Links

Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.

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